After more than three years of war in Ukraine, the Kremlin faces the paradoxical realities of social promotion that this conflict generated across the country. “The Vladimir Putin regime, which had not initially anticipated such a long and massive war, managed to make it a real social elevator for many Russians. But, in the long term, the price to pay for the federal budget could be heavy ”, Prevents Marlène Laruelle, professor in international affairs at the Institute for European, Russian and Eurasian studies (IERES) of George-Washington University. The French Institute of International Relations (IFRI) publishes its last report on Thursday 19 June: “The socio-economic impact of Russian military Keynesianism. »»
The war has partially rebalanced the differences in wealth, level of consumption and social prestige by granting financial advantages to peripheral Russia, far from Moscow and other major cities. “From 2022 to 2024, the war was beneficial for deep Russia. What the Kremlin could not succeed in two decades of peace, he obtained it in three years of war: a redistributive effect from the richest regions towards the poorest regions ”explains Marlène Laruelle. In poor Russia, a new middle class has emerged with wages and income in the provinces approaching those of large rich cities.
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Source: Lemonde